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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia Increases

NEW YORK, Aug. 20, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia increased 0.4 percent in June to 130.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in May, and a 0.1 percent decrease in April.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Australia, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.2 percent in June to 125.2 (2004 = 100), after remaining unchanged in May, and a 0.1 percent increase in April.

The Conference Board LEI for Australia has remained relatively flat over the previous few months, and as a result, its six-month growth rate has declined compared to the latter half of 2013. At the same time, The Conference Board CEI for Australia has changed little in recent months, but is improved compared to six months ago.  Taken together, the current behavior of the composite indexes suggests that economic expansion is not likely to accelerate in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia  
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Australia include:

Yield Spread, 10 year minus Policy Rate  
Share Prices, All Ordinaries  
Money Supply, M3  
Rural Goods Exports 
Sales to Inventory Ratio 
Gross Operating Surplus, Private Non-Financial Corporations 
Building Approvals

For more information including full press release and technical notes:  
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=7

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators:  
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board  
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

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Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes


2013






2014



6-month


Apr



May



Jun



Dec to Jun












Leading Economic Index

129.5

p


129.7

p


130.2

p



   Percent Change 

-0.1


0.2


0.4


1.5

   Diffusion

71.4



71.4



85.7



71.4












Coincident Economic Index 

125.0


125.0


125.2

p



   Percent Change 

0.1


0.0


0.2


1.3

   Diffusion 

75.0



62.5



75.0



100.0












n.a. Not available    p Preliminary    r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

Source: The Conference Board     All Rights Reserved

 

 

 

SOURCE The Conference Board

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