Welcome!

Agile Computing Authors: LeanTaaS Blog, Liz McMillan, Pat Romanski, Yeshim Deniz, Elizabeth White

News Feed Item

USD to Stay Strong Despite the US Fiscal Cliff and the Fed's Open-Ended QE Programme

LONDON, November 7, 2012 /PRNewswire/ --

  • Obama winning a second term may mean a short term pop in risk appetite, but could mean the risk of a worse fiscal cliff and few policy developments going forward due to political gridlock
  • The US fiscal cliff is a real threat to the US economy, but certainly not to the US Dollar - quite the opposite
  • Latest e-book from Saxo Capital Markets launched, arguing the Fed's QE will not kill the US Dollar

The US Dollar will remain a strong currency in the medium term despite the looming US fiscal cliff and the harmful effects of the Federal Reserve's open-ended and theoretically unlimited quantitative easing (QE) programme, says Saxo Capital Markets UK.

John J. Hardy, Head of FX Strategy at Saxo, comments:

"Obama's re-election means political and Federal Reserve business as usual in the US - but also means plenty of uncertainty surrounding the fiscal cliff.

In "The Dollar & the Fed: QE won't break the buck", the first e-book in Saxo Capital Markets' FX Debates Series, Saxo envisages that the USA and its currency are in a far superior position than the other major countries thanks to stronger fundamentals. As a consequence, the Dollar is likely to stay stable or appreciate over the next 12 months.

Hardy continues:

"The Dollar still looks better than most other major currencies regardless of the fact that QE is not working and is not the right prescription for the economy.

"The Federal Reserve's aggressive quantitative easing programme, while it may have kept the economy on a kind of life support and prevented a steep deflationary environment in the initial phases of the deleveraging cycle, has done little to address the structural problems of the economy. In fact, at this point, it risks inflicting harm rather than helping. It presents risks of new asset bubbles - most dangerously in commodities - and keeps too much of the worst kind of debt in the system alive while meting out negative real interest rates on savers.

"The way Obama and the lame duck Congress tackle the impending fiscal cliff will be of crucial importance for the US economy. Ironically, the worse the fiscal cliff, the better the Dollar will likely do because the US Dollar is so linked to global risk appetite and the threat of a US recession would likely see the USD appreciate.

"Another big USD event in the pipeline is next year's appointment of a possible new Fed Chairman if Bernanke decides not to run or if the political environment proves hostile to nominating someone of Bernanke's always-QE-all-the-time stripes. The process starts as early as mid-2013 and could prove quite a distraction. Any threat to the Fed's QE gravy train or suggestion that someone of a less-dovish bent could replace the Fed chairman could see the USD soar.

According to Saxo Capital Markets, the US economy is still better placed relative to other large countries. The main factors supporting the Dollar include:

  • A difficult transition period in China - the country needs to make large structural adjustments in order to boost domestic consumption to replace dwindling demand from abroad;
  • The 'reshoring initiative' has started as US manufacturing costs have become far more competitive for some companies relative to China.
  • The 'Shale Gas Revolution' in the US means producers can look forward to vastly cheaper energy than the rest of the world pays for gas-driven electricity and heating. It's a boon to consumers as well.
  • The US demographic profile if far younger than Japan and Europe where the proportion of pensioners is soaring and will continue to do so far more quickly than in the US for decades;
  • The US Government could consider a second round of the Homeland Investment Act (HIA), which could stimulate the economy without adding to the fiscal burden by allowing US corporations to repatriate foreign profits with either no tax or very little. The potential USD-positive flow from this alone is in the hundreds of billions of USD;
  • The Eurozone crisis weakening the Euro;
  • The currencies of the commodity economies (e.g. Canada and Australia) are currently overvalued.

The #FXdebates series of articles will be published bi-weekly over the next four months, leading the way to an event in February 2012 in collaboration with Bloomberg LINK.  

The other articles in the #FXdebates series will focus on:

  • Gold - Just another currency?
  • The Euro in Crisis
  • Currency Wars: Battle Of The Weakest
  • Yuan Diplomacy

For more information please see: http://uk.saxomarkets.com/fxdebates

Follow the debates via twitter: https://twitter.com/SaxoMarketsUK

Hashtag: #FXdebates

About Saxo Capital Markets

Saxo Capital Markets UK Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group, an international financial services group specialising in trading and investment across global financial markets. Saxo Bank has operated in the UK since March 2006, initially as a branch of Saxo Bank A/S and since 1 January, 2012 as Saxo Capital Markets UK Limited.

Saxo Capital Markets UK offers private investors online trading and investment in FX, CFDs, ETFs, Stocks, Futures, Options and other derivatives, and online wealth management for Funds, Shares, ETFs, Certificates and Bonds. Saxo Capital Markets UK also offers online trading services to a broad institutional client base including Hedge Funds, Introducing Brokers and Money Managers through our award-winning trading platform SaxoTrader, SaxoWebTrader and SaxoMobileTrader and Saxo's B2B/API services.

Additionally a large base of Banks, Brokers, Asset and Money managers, utilise our award winning white label solutions, in order to provide their clients with access to all or some of our trading platforms and associated liquidity.

Find out more about FX Trading opportunities with Saxo Capital Markets.

Media enquiries

Uriel Alvarado Cancino, Chief Public Relations and Marketing Officer, Saxo Capital Markets UK
+44-(0)207-151-2026
[email protected]

Nicholle De Beer, Public Relations and Marketing Manager, Saxo Capital Markets UK
+44-(0)207-151-2024
[email protected]

Smithfield
+44(0)20-7360-4900
[email protected]

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

@ThingsExpo Stories
Nordstrom is transforming the way that they do business and the cloud is the key to enabling speed and hyper personalized customer experiences. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Ken Schow, VP of Engineering at Nordstrom, discussed some of the key learnings and common pitfalls of large enterprises moving to the cloud. This includes strategies around choosing a cloud provider(s), architecture, and lessons learned. In addition, he covered some of the best practices for structured team migration an...
Recently, REAN Cloud built a digital concierge for a North Carolina hospital that had observed that most patient call button questions were repetitive. In addition, the paper-based process used to measure patient health metrics was laborious, not in real-time and sometimes error-prone. In their session at 21st Cloud Expo, Sean Finnerty, Executive Director, Practice Lead, Health Care & Life Science at REAN Cloud, and Dr. S.P.T. Krishnan, Principal Architect at REAN Cloud, discussed how they built...
In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Raju Shreewastava, founder of Big Data Trunk, provided a fun and simple way to introduce Machine Leaning to anyone and everyone. He solved a machine learning problem and demonstrated an easy way to be able to do machine learning without even coding. Raju Shreewastava is the founder of Big Data Trunk (www.BigDataTrunk.com), a Big Data Training and consulting firm with offices in the United States. He previously led the data warehouse/business intelligence and B...
In his Opening Keynote at 21st Cloud Expo, John Considine, General Manager of IBM Cloud Infrastructure, led attendees through the exciting evolution of the cloud. He looked at this major disruption from the perspective of technology, business models, and what this means for enterprises of all sizes. John Considine is General Manager of Cloud Infrastructure Services at IBM. In that role he is responsible for leading IBM’s public cloud infrastructure including strategy, development, and offering m...
With tough new regulations coming to Europe on data privacy in May 2018, Calligo will explain why in reality the effect is global and transforms how you consider critical data. EU GDPR fundamentally rewrites the rules for cloud, Big Data and IoT. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Adam Ryan, Vice President and General Manager EMEA at Calligo, examined the regulations and provided insight on how it affects technology, challenges the established rules and will usher in new levels of diligence arou...
The 22nd International Cloud Expo | 1st DXWorld Expo has announced that its Call for Papers is open. Cloud Expo | DXWorld Expo, to be held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York, NY, brings together Cloud Computing, Digital Transformation, Big Data, Internet of Things, DevOps, Machine Learning and WebRTC to one location. With cloud computing driving a higher percentage of enterprise IT budgets every year, it becomes increasingly important to plant your flag in this fast-expanding busin...
Smart cities have the potential to change our lives at so many levels for citizens: less pollution, reduced parking obstacles, better health, education and more energy savings. Real-time data streaming and the Internet of Things (IoT) possess the power to turn this vision into a reality. However, most organizations today are building their data infrastructure to focus solely on addressing immediate business needs vs. a platform capable of quickly adapting emerging technologies to address future ...
No hype cycles or predictions of a gazillion things here. IoT is here. You get it. You know your business and have great ideas for a business transformation strategy. What comes next? Time to make it happen. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Jay Mason, an Associate Partner of Analytics, IoT & Cybersecurity at M&S Consulting, presented a step-by-step plan to develop your technology implementation strategy. He also discussed the evaluation of communication standards and IoT messaging protocols, data...
22nd International Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, and co-located with the 1st DXWorld Expo will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud ...
22nd International Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, and co-located with the 1st DXWorld Expo will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud ...
DevOps at Cloud Expo – being held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York, NY – announces that its Call for Papers is open. Born out of proven success in agile development, cloud computing, and process automation, DevOps is a macro trend you cannot afford to miss. From showcase success stories from early adopters and web-scale businesses, DevOps is expanding to organizations of all sizes, including the world's largest enterprises – and delivering real results. Among the proven benefits,...
@DevOpsSummit at Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, is co-located with 22nd Cloud Expo | 1st DXWorld Expo and will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. The widespread success of cloud computing is driving the DevOps revolution in enterprise IT. Now as never before, development teams must communicate and collaborate in a dynamic, 24/7/365 environment. There is no time to wait...
Cloud Expo | DXWorld Expo have announced the conference tracks for Cloud Expo 2018. Cloud Expo will be held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, and November 6-8, 2018, at the Santa Clara Convention Center, Santa Clara, CA. Digital Transformation (DX) is a major focus with the introduction of DX Expo within the program. Successful transformation requires a laser focus on being data-driven and on using all the tools available that enable transformation if they plan to survive ov...
SYS-CON Events announced today that T-Mobile exhibited at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. As America's Un-carrier, T-Mobile US, Inc., is redefining the way consumers and businesses buy wireless services through leading product and service innovation. The Company's advanced nationwide 4G LTE network delivers outstanding wireless experiences to 67.4 million customers who are unwilling to compromise on qua...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Cedexis will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Cedexis is the leader in data-driven enterprise global traffic management. Whether optimizing traffic through datacenters, clouds, CDNs, or any combination, Cedexis solutions drive quality and cost-effectiveness. For more information, please visit https://www.cedexis.com.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Google Cloud has been named “Keynote Sponsor” of SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Companies come to Google Cloud to transform their businesses. Google Cloud’s comprehensive portfolio – from infrastructure to apps to devices – helps enterprises innovate faster, scale smarter, stay secure, and do more with data than ever before.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Vivint to exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st Cloud Expo, which will take place on October 31 through November 2nd 2017 at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, California. As a leading smart home technology provider, Vivint offers home security, energy management, home automation, local cloud storage, and high-speed Internet solutions to more than one million customers throughout the United States and Canada. The end result is a smart home solution that sav...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Opsani will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Opsani is the leading provider of deployment automation systems for running and scaling traditional enterprise applications on container infrastructure.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Nirmata will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Nirmata provides a comprehensive platform, for deploying, operating, and optimizing containerized applications across clouds, powered by Kubernetes. Nirmata empowers enterprise DevOps teams by fully automating the complex operations and management of application containers and its underlying ...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Opsani to exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st Cloud Expo, which will take place on October 31 through November 2nd 2017 at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, California. Opsani is creating the next generation of automated continuous deployment tools designed specifically for containers. How is continuous deployment different from continuous integration and continuous delivery? CI/CD tools provide build and test. Continuous Deployment is the means by which...